Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 23, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Hlozek (40'), Amiri (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union SG 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
37.55% ( 1.18)	24.17% ( -0.11)	38.27% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 60.82% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29% (

0.59)

41.71% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89% (

0.59)

64.11% (

-0.59)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

0.88)

22.19% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

1.3)

55.6% (

-1.3)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

-0.26)

21.83% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95% (

-0.4)

55.05% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 37.56%

RB Leipzig 38.27%

Draw 24.16%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.56%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.27%