Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Hlozek 40' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 86' goal

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Wolfsburg 0 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Moussa Diaby

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 37.55% (+1.18)
Draw 24.17% (-0.11)
RB Leipzig 38.27% (-1.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.82% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.29% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 41.71% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 35.89% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 64.11% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 18.94% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 81.07% (-0.45)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% (+0.88)
Under 0.5 22.19% (-0.88)
Over 1.5 44.4% (+1.31)
Under 1.5 55.6% (-1.30)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 78.17% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 21.83% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 44.95% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 55.05% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 37.56%
Draw 24.16%
RB Leipzig 38.27%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.19% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.76% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.58% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-94.87)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.36% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.27%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 32' goal
  • Timo Werner 83' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Piero Hincapie 48' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 36'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 38' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 62' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 14'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 21'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 34'
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 82'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 51' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 90' yellowcard
  • Amadou Haidara 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 60'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT BayArena
  • Kerem Demirbay 19' yellowcard
  • Kerem Demirbay 20' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 14'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 45'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 65'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Patrik Schick 32' goal
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 24'
  • goal Leon Bailey 29'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 39'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 90'