Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Union SG

(Bayer Leverkusen win 5-2 on aggregate)

Wirtz (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okoh Boniface (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union SG

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union SG
51.4% ( -0.02)	23.66% ( 0.01)	24.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

-0.02)

45.06% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-0.02)

67.41% (

0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

-0.02)

17.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

-0.03)

48.11% (

0.03)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

-0)

68.42% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 51.4%

Union SG 24.95%

Draw 23.65%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.4%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.65%	0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.95%