Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Werder Bremen2 - 3B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
Given the one-point gap between the teams in the Bundesliga table, we can see Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen playing out a close-fought battle. Both sides have picked up a number of positive results in recent weeks, so we expect the points to be shared at Weserstadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
35.89% ( -0.26) | 24.29% ( -0.03) | 39.82% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
