Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Ducksch (30'), Fullkrug (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bakker (34'), Frimpong (56'), Hlozek (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
35.89% ( -0.26)	24.29% ( -0.03)	39.82% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 60.24% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

0.11)

42.4% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.19% (

0.1)

64.81% (

-0.1)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.1)

23.37% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65% (

-0.14)

57.35% (

0.14)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.19)

21.38% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.29)

54.36% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 35.89%

Bayer Leverkusen 39.82%

Draw 24.28%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.89%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.82%