Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.