Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Bayern

Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kimmich (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
23.6% ( 0.25)	21.3% ( -0.02)	55.1% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 62.78% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.47% (

0.38)

35.53% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.42% (

0.42)

57.58% (

-0.42)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

0.41)

27.87% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

0.52)

63.48% (

-0.52)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

0.06)

12.96% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.56% (

0.12)

39.44% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 23.6%

Bayern Munich 55.1%

Draw 21.3%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.6%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.1%