Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Exequiel Palacios 55' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 73' goal
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 22'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
Werder Bremen 2 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Moussa Diaby

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Bayern 5 - 3 Augsburg
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Serge Gnabry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 23.6% (+0.25)
Draw 21.3% (-0.02)
Bayern Munich 55.1% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.78% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.47% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 35.53% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 42.42% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 57.58% (-0.42)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 27.87% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 36.52% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 63.48% (-0.52)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 87.04% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 12.96% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 60.56% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 39.44% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 23.6%
Draw 21.3%
Bayern Munich 55.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 6.02% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.57% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 23.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.15% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.3%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 4.19% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.62% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.14% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 55.1%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Leroy Sane 3' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 17' goal
  • Sadio Mane 39' goal
  • Thomas Muller 84' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Niklas Sule 18' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 32'
  • goal Thomas Muller 36' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 54'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 5
FT
  • Patrik Schick 55' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 4'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 30'
  • goal Thomas Muller 34'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 35'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 37'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 7' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 13' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrik Schick 14' goal
  • Leon Bailey 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Serge Gnabry 24'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 43'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 90'+3'
DFB-Pokal
Jul 4, 2020 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Wendell 28' yellowcard
  • Sven Bender 63' goal
  • Kai Havertz 90'+5' goal
  • goal David Alaba 16'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 24'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 59'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 67'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 89'