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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 29.94% ( | 23.89% ( | 46.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( | 42.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( | 62.3% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( | 18.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( | 49.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.16% |