Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 50'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 61'
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 90'+2'

Schalke 04 vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Augsburg 1 - 1 Schalke
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Marius Bulter

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Moussa Diaby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Schalke 04 29.94% (-0.21)
Draw 23.89% (-0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen 46.16% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.49% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.91% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.33% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 81.67% (+0.03)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5 73.03% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 26.96% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 37.69% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 62.3% (+0.20)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 81.38% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 18.62% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 50.08% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 49.92% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Schalke 04 29.94%
Draw 23.89%
Bayer Leverkusen 46.16%
Schalke 04
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.89%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.3% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.44% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.09% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.98% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 46.16%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 38' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 41' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 53' goal
  • Paulinho 90' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Alario 26' goal
  • Patrik Schick 72' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 73' yellowcard
  • goal Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2020 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mark Uth 11' yellowcard
  • Matthew Hoppe 72' yellowcard
  • goal Malick Thiaw 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Dragovic 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 59'
  • goal Julian Baumgartlinger 67'
  • yellowcard Daley Sinkgraven 71'
  • goal Patrik Schick 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Jun 14, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT VELTINS-Arena
  • Ozan Kabak 9' yellowcard
  • Juan Miranda 35' yellowcard
  • Daniel Caligiuri 51' goal
  • Daniel Caligiuri 60' yellowcard
  • Weston McKennie 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Alario 59'
  • goal Juan Miranda 81' (OG)
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
  • Lucas Alario 15' goal
  • Wendell 43' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 81' goal
  • Lucas Alario 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Caligiuri 29'
  • yellowcard Benito Raman 53'
  • goal Benito Raman 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
  • Kai Havertz 31' goal
  • Julian Baumgartlinger 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 52' yellowcard
  • goal Guido Burgstaller 47'
  • yellowcard Alexander Nubel 68'