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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Schalke
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen

FT(HT: 0-0)
Frimpong (50'), Wirtz (61'), Azmoun (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Schalke
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawBayer Leverkusen
29.94% (-0.208 -0.21)23.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.16% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.44% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)42.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)64.91% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.157 -0.16)26.96% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (-0.204 -0.2)62.3% (0.2 0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.075000000000003 0.08)18.62% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (0.128 0.13)49.92% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 29.94%
    Bayer Leverkusen 46.16%
    Draw 23.89%
Schalke 04DrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.94%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: Schalke vs B. Leverkusen

Schalke 04
13.0%
Draw
10.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
76.1%
46
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Schalke
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Uth (11'), Hoppe (72')
Thiaw (10' og.), Baumgartlinger (67'), Schick (78')
Dragovic (58'), Tah (59'), Sinkgraven (71')
Jun 14, 2020 5pm
Dec 7, 2019 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Schalke
Alario (15', 81')
Wendell (43'), Alario (83')
Raman (82')
Caligiuri (29'), Raman (53')