Europa League
Apr 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Lotto Park
  • Casper Terho 64' goal
  • goal Moussa Diaby 2'
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 37'
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 60'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 79'

Union SG vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 13, 2023 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Union SG

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 13, 2023 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Union SG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Union SG 30.3% (-5.00)
Draw 24.23% (-0.26)
Bayer Leverkusen 45.46% (+5.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.45% (-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.1% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 43.89% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 33.71% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 66.28% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 17.31% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 82.68% (+0.34)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 72.58% (-3.26)
Under 0.5 27.42% (+3.25)
Over 1.5 37.1% (-4.42)
Under 1.5 62.89% (+4.41)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% (+2.17)
Under 0.5 19.46% (-2.17)
Over 1.5 48.67% (+3.42)
Under 1.5 51.32% (-3.43)

Score analysis

Union SG 30.3%
Draw 24.23%
Bayer Leverkusen 45.46%
Union SG
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.76)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.52)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.81)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.67)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.35)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.57)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.34)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 5.34% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.23%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.25% (+0.55)
0-1 @ 8.73% (+0.74)
0-2 @ 7.15% (+1.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (+0.61)
0-3 @ 3.9% (+0.78)
2-3 @ 3.26% (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.06% (+0.37)
0-4 @ 1.6% (+0.40)
2-4 @ 1.34% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 45.46%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 82' goal
  • goal Victor Okoh Boniface 51'