Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
2 - 1
RFC Seraing

Adingra (17'), Vertessen (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mouandilmadji (47')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and RFC Seraing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Union SG
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

RFC Seraing

All competitions
Last Game: Brugge 2-0 RFC Seraing
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 87.78%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 3.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 0-1 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawRFC Seraing
87.78% (0.43000000000001 0.43)8.67% (-0.2611 -0.26)3.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 40.73% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.49% (0.363 0.36)27.51% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.87% (0.457 0.46)48.12% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.96% (0.122 0.12)4.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83% (0.40899999999999 0.41)16.99% (-0.417 -0.42)
RFC Seraing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.45% (-0.546 -0.55)57.55% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.65% (-0.307 -0.31)89.35% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 87.77%
    RFC Seraing 3.54%
    Draw 8.67%
Union SGDrawRFC Seraing
3-0 @ 12.8% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 10.27% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 6.6% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 5.68% (0.0029999999999992 0)
5-1 @ 3.64% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.53% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.95% (0.039 0.04)
7-0 @ 1.62% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 87.77%
1-1 @ 4.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 1.83% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 8.67%
0-1 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 1.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 3.54%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3pm
RFC Seraing
1-2
Union SG
Elisor (75')
Sissoko (20')
Vanzeir (47'), Teuma (72' pen.)
Jan 18, 2022 7pm
RFC Seraing
0-4
Union SG

Lahssaini (61'), Galje (82')
Undav (5', 83'), Vanzeir (26'), Teuma (62' pen.)
Van der Heyden (67'), Nieuwkoop (90+3')
Bager (13')
Oct 16, 2021 3.15pm
Union SG
4-2
RFC Seraing
Mitoma (55', 76', 90'), Vanzeir (66')
Thierry Lazare (16'), Van der Heyden (83')
Thierry Lazare (45')
Jallow (31'), Mikautadze (35')
Jallow (58'), Del Fabro (81')