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Europa League

Roma logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Leverkusen logo

Roma
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Bove (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Edoardo Bove scores the only goal of the game as Roma overcome Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final at Stadio Olimpico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 FC Koln
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
42.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)31.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.06%
    Bayer Leverkusen 31.15%
    Draw 26.78%
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Roma vs B. Leverkusen

Roma
55.4%
Draw
26.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
18.5%
260
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Salah (2'), Dzeko (29'), Pjanic (80' pen.)
Torosidis (91'), Szczesny (94')
Mehmedi (46'), Hernandez (51')
Papadopoulos (61')
Toprak (79')
> Match Report
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-4
Roma
Hernandez (4' pen., 19'), Kampl (84'), Mehmedi (86')
Kramer (36'), Wendell (90')
De Rossi (29', 37'), Pjanic (54'), Falque (73')
Nainggolan (24'), de Rossi (34')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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