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Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Sottil (23')
Gonzalez (78')
Gonzalez (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darmian (52'), Dzeko (55'), Perisic (87')
Skriniar (18'), Darmian (63'), Calhanoglu (83')

Preview: Fiorentina vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two of the form sides in Serie A clash at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Tuesday, as champions Inter Milan visit Fiorentina.

While the Nerazzurri crushed Bologna 6-1 at the weekend, their midweek hosts were posting a third straight win, which lifts them into the top five of the early-season standings.


Match preview

Inter Milan's Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on September 12, 2021© Reuters

Even if their Champions League campaign got off to a losing start last week - as they were beaten at home by Real Madrid - on Saturday, Inter blew away their latest domestic opponents with three goals in each half at a jubilant San Siro.

Lautaro Martinez kicked off the scoring in just the sixth minute and his strike partner Edin Dzeko rounded off proceedings with a second-half double to send Bologna back to Emilia-Romagna with their tails between their legs.

Such a comprehensive victory should now have shaken off any frustration felt at losing late on to Real and being held to a 2-2 draw by Sampdoria last weekend, having led on two occasions, so Inter are well set to mount a successful defence of their title.

Their perfect start to the season may have come to an end, but Simone Inzaghi's men are still very much setting the standard at the top of Serie A, with new boys Joaquin Correa, Hakan Calhanoglu and Dzeko all making an impact so far.

Inzaghi's replacement for the departed Achraf Hakimi had taken a little longer to settle into life at San Siro - waiting patiently for a start behind Matteo Darmian - but the inimitable Denzel Dumfries was at his marauding best against Bologna and looks set for a spectacular Calcio career.

Topped-up on confidence again, Inter now take a trip to Florence, where they meet a side they defeated on no less than three occasions last term: home and away in the league, and in the last 16 of the cup. However, this season, their Tuscan counterparts may prove a far sterner test under new management.

Vincenzo Italiano, now in charge of Fiorentina, pictured in March 2021© Reuters

Having backed up their first win of the 2021-22 campaign with another success in Bergamo last week, Fiorentina were able to make it three wins from three on Saturday, as they took care of business against Genoa.

Though they failed to break the deadlock until the hour mark, when substitute Riccardo Saponara fired in an unstoppable strike from the edge of the area, Vincenzo Italiano's team ultimately ran out 2-1 winners, with their hosts' consolation coming only from the last kick of the game, via the penalty spot.

Saponara - who spent much of last season out on loan at Spezia, under Italiano's management - also deliciously set up Giacomo Bonaventura's goal at Marassi, and his re-emergence is symbolic of renewed belief under their enterprising head coach.

After a prolonged period of mediocrity at the grand old club, long-suffering Fiorentina fans are celebrating winning three consecutive games in a Serie A season for the first time since October 2019, and it was six years ago when the club last posted at least nine points from their first four league outings.

In that 2015-16 campaign, the Viola finished fifth at the end of the season - just three points behind Inter. While such giddy heights are surely out of bounds this term, a top-half position could be within their grasp should such improvement continue.

However, their toughest task so far awaits on Tuesday evening, as they welcome the formidable Scudetto-holders to the Franchi.

Fiorentina Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Fiorentina form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Inter Milan Serie A form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Inter Milan form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Inter Milan head coach Simone Inzaghi pictured on August 21, 2021© Reuters

Inter boss Simone Inzaghi is set to make some changes to the starting lineup that battered Bologna - particularly with a Lombardy derby versus Atalanta to prepare for next weekend.

Therefore, Hakan Calhanoglu should be brought back into central midfield, with Matias Vecino most probably the man to make way, while both Arturo Vidal and Stefano Sensi are unavailable. On the left, meanwhile, Ivan Perisic will compete with Federico Dimarco out wide in Inzaghi's customary 3-5-2.

Edin Dzeko is expected to lead the line after initially being rested last time out, though he came on before the break when Joaquin Correa was forced off injured. The Argentina international has sustained only bruising, after it was feared a more serious injury had occurred, but is expected to miss out - Alexis Sanchez will hope, then, for a rare start.

Meanwhile, having been heavily involved in Fiorentina's attacking approach at the weekend, Alvaro Odriozola is set to continue at right-back for the home side in the absence of the injured Lorenzo Venuti, who damaged his shoulder last week.

Vincenzo Italiano generally prefers a 4-3-3 formation, so it is mostly a question of which personnel he chooses to retain for the champions' visit, with Riccardo Saponara a contender to play ahead of Nicolas Gonzalez after his stellar cameo on Saturday.

Gaetano Castrovilli was withdrawn midway through the first half in Genoa, so Sofyan Amrabat and loan signing Lucas Torreira are on standby to step into the starting XI if required - with Alfred Duncan another option available to Italiano.

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Dragowski; Odriozola, Milenkovic, Martinez Quarta, Biraghi; Bonaventura, Torreira, Amrabat; Callejon, Vlahovic, Gonzalez

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; Skriniar, De Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Calhanoglu, Perisic; Martinez, Dzeko


SM words green background

We say: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter have reigned supreme over Fiorentina in recent months and can continue to build another Serie A winning streak with victory over their Tuscan counterparts on Tuesday.

Even if the Nerazzurri rotate their considerable resources, a lethal forward line can surely slice through the attack-minded Viola on several occasions - and they rarely fail to capitalise.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
14.8%
Draw
15.6%
Inter Milan
69.5%
243
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Inter Milan's Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring against AC Milan in Serie A on February 21, 2021
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FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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