Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 6pm UK
Allianz Stadion
Fiorentina logo

Rapid Vienna
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Grull (34' pen.)
Hofmann (53'), Barisic (74+74'), Schick (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandragora (33'), Bonaventura (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Rapid Vienna and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: BW Linz 0-5 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Rapid ViennaDrawFiorentina
28.16%23.91%47.94% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 58.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)18.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.48%
Score Analysis
    Rapid Vienna 28.16%
    Fiorentina 47.94%
    Draw 23.9%
Rapid ViennaDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 6.95%
1-0 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 28.16%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 47.94%

How you voted: Rapid Vienna vs Fiorentina

Rapid Vienna
7.0%
Draw
11.6%
Fiorentina
81.4%
86