UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Nagyerdei Stadion

Debrecen
0 - 5
Rapid Vienna

Domingues (54'), Lagator (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Seidl (15'), Romanchuk (43' og.), Grull (51'), Burgstaller (72'), Baranyai (90' og.)
Seidl (25'), Querfeld (27'), Auer (31'), Sattlberger (34'), Cvetkovic (46')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Debrecen and Rapid Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Debrecen

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Debrecen 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Goals
for

Rapid Vienna

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 0-1 Hartberg
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.

Result
Debrecen	Draw	Rapid Vienna
26.22% ( 0.57)	22.52% ( 0.15)	51.25% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 61.31% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

-0.17)

38.73% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

-0.18)

61.04% (

0.18)

Debrecen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.33)

27.61% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

0.43)

63.14% (

-0.43)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

-0.31)

15.3% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98% (

-0.57)

44.02% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Debrecen 26.22%

Rapid Vienna 51.25%

Draw 22.52%

Debrecen	Draw	Rapid Vienna
2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.22%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.25%