Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Mezokovesd-Zsory had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Mezokovesd-Zsory win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.