Premier League Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Vitality Stadium
Arsenal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 17'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 17'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 33'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 44'
  • goal Kai Havertz 53'
  • goal Ben White 90'+3'

Bournemouth vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
Brighton 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Solanke

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
Arsenal 2 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Bournemouth 16.51% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 21.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Arsenal 61.61% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.65% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 48.35% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 29.51% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 70.49% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 14.33% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 85.67% ▲ (+0.17)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 57.53% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 42.47% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 21.16% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 78.84% ▲ (+0.29)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 84.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 15.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 56.2% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 43.8% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 16.51%
Draw 21.88%
Arsenal 61.6%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.88%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 12.15% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 11.45% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 61.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 26
Arsenal
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Bournemouth
  • Thomas Partey 62' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Reiss Nelson 90'+7' goal
  • goal Philip Billing 1'
  • goal Marcos Senesi 57'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Bournemouth
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Jordan Zemura 27' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 60' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Odegaard 5'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 11'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 52'
  • goal William Saliba 54'
FA Cup
Bournemouth
Jan 27, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Harry Wilson 45' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 94' goal
  • Sam Surridge 98' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 5'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 26'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 92'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Bournemouth
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Dan Gosling 35' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 53' yellowcard
  • Chris Mepham 85' yellowcard
  • Steve Cook 85' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 54'
  • yellowcard Ainsley Maitland-Niles 55'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 63'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 64'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lacazette 93'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Arsenal
Oct 6, 2019 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • David Luiz 9' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 13'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 29'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Arsenal
Feb 27, 2019 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Bournemouth
  • Mesut Ozil 4' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 27' goal
  • Sokratis Papastathopoulos 36' yellowcard
  • Laurent Koscielny 47' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 59' goal
  • Lucas Torreira 69' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 78' goal
  • goal Lys Mousset 30'
  • yellowcard Joshua King 32'
  • yellowcard Charlie Daniels 77'

Form Data

Bournemouth 2 - 0 Stoke
Brighton 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea
Brentford 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Swansea 2 - 3 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 2 Spurs
Brentford 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 2 Spurs
Arsenal 4 - 0 PSV
Everton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 1 Man Utd
Arsenal 2 - 2 Fulham

Build-up

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