Premier League Gameweek 9
Man City
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Brighton
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Rodri 38' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Solly March 36'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 64'
  • goal Ansu Fati 73'

Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 0 Man City
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
Brighton 2 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result

Manchester City 69.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 16.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 14.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 26.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 53.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 46.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 34.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 65.74% ▲ (+0.03)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 93.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 6.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 74.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 69.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester City 69.31%
Draw 16.28%
Brighton & Hove Albion 14.41%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 69.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.28%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 14.41%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Brighton
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Man City
  • Julio Enciso 38' goal
  • goal Phil Foden 25'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Man City
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brighton
  • Erling Braut Haaland 22' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 43' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 53'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Riyad Mahrez 53' goal
  • Phil Foden 65' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 89'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Brighton
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Man City
  • Jakub Moder 63' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 70' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 81' goal
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 13'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 22'
  • goal Phil Foden 28'
  • goal Phil Foden 31'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 60'
  • yellowcard Ederson 84'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Brighton
May 18, 2021 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 27' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 50' goal
  • Adam Webster 72' goal
  • Dan Burn 76' goal
  • Adam Webster 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 2'
  • redcard Joao Cancelo 10'
  • goal Phil Foden 48'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 73'
  • yellowcard Rodri 79'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 82'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Man City
Jan 13, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Brighton
  • Phil Foden 44' goal
  • yellowcard Joel Veltman 62'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 77'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 0 Man City
RB Leipzig 1 - 3 Man City
Wolves 2 - 1 Man City
Newcastle 1 - 0 Man City
Man City 2 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Man City 3 - 1 Red Star
Brighton 2 - 2 Liverpool
Marseille 2 - 2 Brighton
Aston Villa 6 - 1 Brighton
Chelsea 1 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Brighton 2 - 3 AEK Athens

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