Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Chancel Mbemba 19' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 20' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 84' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 87' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 89' yellowcard
  • goal Pascal Gross 54'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 83'
  • yellowcard Joel Veltman 84'
  • goal Joao Pedro 88'
  • yellowcard Evan Ferguson 90'+5'

Marseille vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
Ajax 3 - 3 Marseille

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
Brighton 2 - 3 AEK Athens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Marseille 38.79% (-2.92)
Draw 23.58% (+0.20)
Brighton & Hove Albion 37.63% (+2.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.1% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.25% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 38.75% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 38.94% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 61.06% (+0.64)
Over 4.5 21.29% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 78.7% (+0.51)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 79.71% (-1.57)
Under 0.5 20.28% (+1.57)
Over 1.5 47.36% (-2.56)
Under 1.5 52.64% (+2.56)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 79.16% (+1.11)
Under 0.5 20.84% (-1.11)
Over 1.5 46.47% (+1.71)
Under 1.5 53.52% (-1.71)

Score analysis

Marseille 38.79%
Draw 23.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion 37.63%
Marseille
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.32)
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.40)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.36)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.26)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 38.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.23% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 8.29% (+0.38)
0-1 @ 6.63% (+0.40)
0-2 @ 5.2% (+0.48)
1-3 @ 4.34% (+0.34)
2-3 @ 3.46% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.72% (+0.33)
1-4 @ 1.7% (+0.19)
2-4 @ 1.36% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-89.54)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.63%