Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 2Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion fight back from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Marseille in their first-ever European away game.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Marseille
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.79% ( -2.91) | 23.58% ( 0.19) | 37.63% ( 2.72) |
Both teams to score 63.1% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.25% ( -0.6) | 38.75% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.94% ( -0.64) | 61.06% ( 0.64) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( -1.57) | 20.28% ( 1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% ( -2.56) | 52.64% ( 2.56) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 1.1) | 20.84% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( 1.7) | 53.52% ( -1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille 38.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion 37.63%
Draw 23.57%
Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.33) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.63% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Brighton
Marseille
25.7%Draw
28.4%Brighton & Hove Albion
45.9%148
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 19:50:22
Result
Baez
Fritz
Fritz
2 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
Struff
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
Paolini
3 2
6 6
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
This weekend's permutations: Who can be crowned champions, win promotion or suffer relegation?
2
Champions Man City continue title charge with win at Forest
3
PSG crowned Ligue 1 champions as Monaco lose to Lyon
4
Barcelona vs. Valencia injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
5
Mikel Arteta hails "sensational" Arsenal star after derby victory
6
Five potential free agents Man Utd should target this summer
7
Bukayo Saka matches Ian Wright feats in pulsating North London derby
8
"He was outstanding" - Postecoglou hails Tottenham star after derby defeat
9
"Nothing has changed" - Xavi insists "key" Barca star will stay at club
10
"A threat" - Ten Hag praises much-criticised Man United man
Sport News 24/7