Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
3 - 2
Marseille

Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Nice
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 4-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Marseille
36.34% ( -0.16)	24.79% ( -0)	38.86% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.46% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

44.74% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

67.1% (

-0)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.08)

24.2% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

-0.12)

58.54% (

0.12)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

0.08)

22.88% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

0.12)

56.62% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Monaco 36.34%

Marseille 38.86%

Draw 24.79%

Monaco	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.86%