Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Achraf Hakimi 8' goal
  • Randal Kolo 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 47' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 89' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Gigot 73'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 82'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 85'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 3 Nice
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 4.05pm
Marseille 0 - 0 Toulouse
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 43.2% (-0.01)
Draw 23.54% (-0.01)
Marseille 33.26% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.36% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.63% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 39.36% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 38.3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 61.7% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.79% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.21% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 81.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.86% (-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 76.59% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.41% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.6% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.39% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 43.2%
Draw 23.54%
Marseille 33.26%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 43.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.54%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.26%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 25'
  • goal Lionel Messi 29'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 55'
Coupe de France
Feb 8, 2023 8.10pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Alexis Sanchez 31' goal
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 57' goal
  • goal Sergio Ramos 45'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Neymar 45'+1' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Neymar 12' goal
  • Marco Verratti 17' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 37' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 46' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 45'+4' goal
  • Neymar 55' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerson 21'
  • goal Duje Caleta-Car 31'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jorge Sampaoli 17' yellowcard
  • Valentin Rongier 18' yellowcard
  • redcard Achraf Hakimi 57'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 85'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 7, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Pape Gueye 49' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 9'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 24'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mauro Icardi 53'