Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
22.6% ( 0.44) | 22.24% ( 0.51) | 55.16% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.87% ( -1.85) | 41.13% ( 1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% ( -1.91) | 63.52% ( 1.91) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.18% ( -0.64) | 31.82% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.75% ( -0.74) | 68.25% ( 0.74) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% ( -0.93) | 14.83% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% ( -1.8) | 43.14% ( 1.8) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |