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Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
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Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
PSG logo

Toulouse
1 - 1
PSG

Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
22.6% (0.44 0.44)22.24% (0.512 0.51)55.16% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-1.186 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87% (-1.847 -1.85)41.13% (1.847 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (-1.905 -1.91)63.52% (1.905 1.91)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.642 -0.64)31.82% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.743 -0.74)68.25% (0.744 0.74)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.929 -0.93)14.83% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (-1.803 -1.8)43.14% (1.803 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 22.6%
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.16%
    Draw 22.24%
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.097 0.1)
1-0 @ 5.4% (0.353 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.1% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 22.6%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.386 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.454 0.45)
0-2 @ 8.59% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.26% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 5.47% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 55.16%

How you voted: Toulouse vs PSG

Toulouse
13.7%
Draw
7.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
78.4%
51
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 11pm
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Toulouse
P-P
PSG
Aug 25, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
4-0
Toulouse
rhs 2.0


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