Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 22.6% ( | 22.24% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( | 41.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( | 31.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( | 68.25% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( | 14.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( | 43.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 3-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0-2 @ 8.59% ( 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0-5 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.16% |