Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
68.07% ( 0.18)	17.82% ( -0.07)	14.1% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.31% (

0.05)

34.68% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.36% (

0.06)

56.63% (

-0.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.68% (

0.05)

9.32% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.57% (

0.13)

31.43% (

-0.13)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84% (

-0.12)

37.16% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.05% (

-0.12)

73.94% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 68.07%

Cerezo Osaka 14.1%

Draw 17.82%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 4.59% Total : 68.07%	1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.82%	1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.1%