Club Friendlies 1
Jul 21, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campus Sportcentrum Ternat
  • Hugo Ekitike 53' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' goal

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jan 19, 2023 5.00pm
All-Star XI 4 - 5 PSG

Le Havre

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 59.99% (-0.32)
Draw 20.49% (+0.03)
Le Havre 19.52% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% (+0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.87% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 37.13% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 40.67% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 59.33% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 22.68% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 77.32% (-0.27)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 87.93% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.41% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.59% (-0.02)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 67.6% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 32.4% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 31.08% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 68.91% (-0.52)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 59.99%
Draw 20.49%
Le Havre 19.52%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.91% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 59.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.49%
Le Havre
1-2 @ 5.25% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.97% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 19.52%