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Club Friendlies
Jul 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Campus Sportcentrum Ternat
Le Havre

PSG
2 - 0
Le Havre

Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Dijon
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
59.99% (-0.312 -0.31)20.49% (0.029 0.03)19.52% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 59.44% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87% (0.309 0.31)37.13% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67% (0.334 0.33)59.33% (-0.331 -0.33)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02)37.59% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.467 0.47)32.4% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (0.521 0.52)68.91% (-0.52 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 59.99%
    Le Havre 19.52%
    Draw 20.49%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 59.99%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.52%

How you voted: PSG vs Le Havre

Paris Saint-Germain
90.2%
Draw
9.8%
Le Havre
0.0%
41
rhs 2.0


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