Ligue 2 | Gameweek 37
May 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
Le Havre

Bastia
1 - 1
Le Havre

Guidi (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grandsir (88')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Le Havre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 2-6 Bastia
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Valenciennes
Monday, May 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawLe Havre
38.06% (0.37 0.37)29.99% (-0.113 -0.11)31.95% (-0.256 -0.26)
Both teams to score 41.85% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.7% (0.307 0.31)65.3% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.9% (0.213 0.21)84.1% (-0.212 -0.21)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.39699999999999 0.4)33.18% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.437 0.44)69.79% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)37.36% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)74.15% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 38.05%
    Le Havre 31.95%
    Draw 29.98%
BastiaDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 12.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Bastia vs Le Havre

Bastia
50.0%
Draw
8.3%
Le Havre
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
gameweek 11
Le Havre
3-0
Bastia
Lloris (23'), Cornette (33'), Lekhal (47')
Lekhal (45')
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Le Havre
2-4
Bastia
Abdelli (9' pen.), Abline (17' pen.)
Toure (70')
Vincent (24'), Schur (29'), Magri (56'), Robic (90+4')
Placide (8'), Sainati (62'), Roncaglia (89')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
gameweek 6
Bastia
0-0
Le Havre

Santelli (18'), Quemper (62')

Richardson (52'), Ba (58')