Ligue 2 | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nouveau Stade du Hameau

Pau
2 - 6
Bastia

George (17'), Bassouamina (78' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Santelli (20'), Magri (23', 68', 85'), Guidi (56'), Palun (75')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Valenciennes 1-1 Pau
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 2-1 Niort
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Pau had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
PauDrawBastia
34.62% (-0.112 -0.11)29.65% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)35.73% (0.185 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.07% (0.194 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.01% (0.235 0.23)63.99% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.82% (0.166 0.17)83.18% (-0.169 -0.17)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.049000000000007 0.05)34.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.48% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.248 0.25)33.99% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.269 0.27)70.67% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Pau 34.61%
    Bastia 35.73%
    Draw 29.65%
PauDrawBastia
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.65%
0-1 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.73%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Bastia
1-0
Pau
Santelli (77')
Sainati (49'), Bai (89')

Boli (61'), George (81'), Ruiz (83')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
gameweek 23
Bastia
1-1
Pau
Santelli (50')
Magri (48'), Ducrocq (67'), Bocognano (74')
Essende (56')
Essende (55')
Aug 21, 2021 6pm
gameweek 5
Pau
2-0
Bastia
Koffi (38'), Assifuah (49')
Daubin (61'), Gomis (70')

Schur (28'), Santelli (34')
Guidi (86')