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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade des Costieres

Nimes
3 - 2
Pau

Said (2'), Tchokounte (44'), Guessoum (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Saivet (17'), Begraoui (84' pen.)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Nimes and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nimes

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 3-0 Nimes
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 2-1 Guingamp
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Pau had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.

Result
NimesDrawPau
47.43%25.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)27.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 52.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38%50.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47%72.53% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nimes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64%21.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88%33.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28%69.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Nimes 47.42%
    Pau 27.2%
    Draw 25.37%
NimesDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.2%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
gameweek 13
Pau
1-0
Nimes
Beusnard (26')

Vargas (31')
Feb 1, 2022 6pm
gameweek 22
Pau
0-3
Nimes

Poha (51')
Kone (59'), Benrahou (85' pen.), Mar Omarsson (90+2')
Sainte-Luce (18'), Martinez (44')
Aug 14, 2021 6pm
gameweek 4
Nimes
0-0
Pau