Ligue 2 | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nouveau Stade du Hameau
Metz logo

Pau
1 - 1
Metz

George (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Prior (58' og.)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pau 0-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 1-0 Laval
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
PauDrawMetz
24.14% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)26.9% (0.032 0.03)48.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.58% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (-0.102 -0.1)58.46% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)79.05% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)40.04% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)76.68% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)23.98% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Pau 24.14%
    Metz 48.95%
    Draw 26.9%
PauDrawMetz
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.14%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 13.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.79% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.95%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Metz
1-0
Pau
Dia Ndiaye (11')

Gomis (90')
rhs 2.0


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