Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Pau had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Pau
61.25% ( -0.61)	22.79% ( 0.23)	15.95% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 45% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.16% (

-0.26)

52.83% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55% (

-0.22)

74.45% (

0.22)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.3)

16.83% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.17% (

-0.54)

46.83% (

0.54)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.11% (

0.36)

45.88% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.37% (

0.28)

81.63% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 61.25%

Pau 15.95%

Draw 22.79%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 13.76% 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.25%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.95%