Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
Saint-Etienne

Bastia
2 - 0
St Etienne

Van Den Kerkhof (50' pen.), Ducrocq (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 0-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 28 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 2-3 Sochaux
Saturday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawSaint-Etienne
33.16% (0.828 0.83)28.9% (-0.379 -0.38)37.94% (-0.453 -0.45)
Both teams to score 44.96% (1.184 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.37% (1.37 1.37)61.63% (-1.375 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.54% (1.004 1)81.46% (-1.008 -1.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (1.326 1.33)34.49% (-1.331 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (1.388 1.39)71.21% (-1.392 -1.39)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.42400000000001 0.42)31.36% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.486 0.49)67.72% (-0.49000000000001 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 33.16%
    Saint-Etienne 37.93%
    Draw 28.89%
BastiaDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.81% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 12.54% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.93%

How you voted: Bastia vs St Etienne

Bastia
56.3%
Draw
18.8%
Saint-Etienne
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
St Etienne
5-0
Bastia
Macon (8'), Krasso (19', 33', 36' pen., 61')
Bakayoko (57'), Eric Bile (83')

Palun (35'), Sainati (87')
Mar 4, 2017 7pm
Bastia
0-0
St Etienne

Danic (70')
Saint-Ruf (44')

Corgnet (77')
Lemoine (66')
Sep 18, 2016 4pm
St Etienne
1-0
Bastia
Hamouma (90')
Tannane (65'), Kristian Selnaes (83')

Leca (6'), Cioni (29'), Crivelli (89')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Bastia
0-1
St Etienne

Danic (24'), Mostefa (62'), Palmieri (70')
Roux (76')
Tannane (61'), Pajot (73')
Aug 30, 2015 1pm
St Etienne
2-1
Bastia
Perrin (20'), Eysseric (62')
Clement (82')
Danic (41')
Coulibaly (51')
Djiku (4'), Kamano (73')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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