Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bastia in this match.