Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Bordeaux

Pau
0 - 2
Bordeaux

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bokele (33'), Badji (67')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Bordeaux.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 0-1 Pau
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Bordeaux

All competitions
Last Game: Bordeaux 1-2 Le Havre
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.

Result
PauDrawBordeaux
30.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)26.35% (-0.206 -0.21)43.55% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 51.39% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95% (0.809 0.81)53.06% (-0.807 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (0.682 0.68)74.64% (-0.682 -0.68)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.399 0.4)32.2% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (0.449 0.45)68.69% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (0.476 0.48)24.2% (-0.475 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.669 0.67)58.54% (-0.667 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Pau 30.1%
    Bordeaux 43.54%
    Draw 26.35%
PauDrawBordeaux
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.1%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 43.54%

How you voted: Pau vs Bordeaux

Pau
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Bordeaux
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
Bordeaux
1-1
Pau
Pirringuel (87')
Bassouamina (23')
Lambert Evans (27')
Jan 16, 2020 7.55pm
Round of 32
Pau
3-2
Bordeaux
Name (23'), Jarju (43'), Lamine Gueye (117')
Daubin (32'), Name (38'), Lamine Gueye (118')
Maja (41'), De Preville (81')
Benito (77')