Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Le Havre
40.17% ( -0.2)	28.43% ( 0.17)	31.4% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.66% (

-0.59)

60.34% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5% (

-0.45)

80.5% (

0.45)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.41)

29.39% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-0.5)

65.37% (

0.5)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

-0.3)

35.07% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17% (

-0.31)

71.82% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Metz 40.17%

Le Havre 31.39%

Draw 28.42%

Metz	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 40.17%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.42%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.39%