Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Quevilly	Draw	Metz
24.98% ( 0.17)	27.97% ( -0.52)	47.04% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 43.52% (

1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.5% (

1.74)

61.49% (

-1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.63% (

1.27)

81.36% (

-1.28)

Quevilly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.02% (

1.15)

40.98% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.46% (

1.02)

77.53% (

-1.02)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

0.99)

26.26% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

1.3)

61.38% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Quevilly 24.98%

Metz 47.03%

Draw 27.97%

Quevilly	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.25% Total : 24.98%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 14.38% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.92% Total : 47.03%