Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38

Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 0
Dijon

Casimir (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Le Havre and Dijon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Le Havre
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Dijon

All competitions

Last Game: Dijon 1-1 Paris FC
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Dijon
43.99% ( -0.15)	28.41% ( -0)	27.6% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 44.21% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.45% (

0.08)

61.55% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.6% (

0.06)

81.4% (

-0.06)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14% (

-0.04)

27.86% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

-0.05)

63.46% (

0.05)

Dijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

0.18)

38.71% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

0.17)

75.45% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 43.99%

Dijon 27.6%

Draw 28.4%

Le Havre	Draw	Dijon
1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 27.6%