Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.