Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
46.5% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() | 28.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% (![]() | 47.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% (![]() | 69.88% (![]() |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% (![]() | 20.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% (![]() | 53.07% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% (![]() | 66.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |