Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
| 26.08% ( | 25.67% ( | 48.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( | 52.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( | 74.21% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( | 35.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( | 71.81% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( | 21.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% ( | 55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.25% |