Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Angers |
| 44.37% ( | 26.35% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( | 53.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( | 74.93% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( | 23.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( | 58.17% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( | 32.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( | 69.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |