Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.