J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 7.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka
  • goal Leo Ceara 53'
  • goal Satoki Uejo 89'

Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 7.00am
Shonan Bellmare 2 - 4 Consadole
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 5.30am
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Shonan Bellmare 32.89% (-0.12)
Draw 27.84% (+0.09)
Cerezo Osaka 39.27% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.93% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.07% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 57.93% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 21.37% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 78.63% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 9.14% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 90.86% (+0.17)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5 67.25% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 32.75% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 30.7% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 69.3% (+0.29)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 71.27% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 28.73% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 35.43% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 64.57% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Shonan Bellmare 32.89%
Draw 27.84%
Cerezo Osaka 39.27%
Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.5% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.84%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 11.73% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.32% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.27%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 1, 2022 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jean Patric 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 90'+6' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 29, 2022 7.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Adam Taggart 18'
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 78'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 90'+4'
J1 League Gameweek 26
Aug 25, 2021 11.00am
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Hiroshi Kiyotake 84' goal
  • goal Shota Kobayashi 4'
  • goal Tarik Elyounoussi 27'
  • goal Akimi Barada 42'
  • goal Yuki Ohashi 52'
  • goal Kazuki Oiwa 67'
  • yellowcard Masaki Ikeda 77'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Mar 21, 2021 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Takuya Okamoto 23' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 16
Oct 14, 2020 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jun Nishikawa 74' yellowcard
  • Yuta Toyokawa 75' yellowcard
  • Matej Jonjic 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Kosei Tani 45'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 1, 2020 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mitsuki Saito 21' yellowcard
  • Kazuki Oiwa 59' yellowcard
  • Kazuaki Mawatari 71' yellowcard
  • Daiki Kaneko 76' yellowcard
  • Tarik Elyounoussi 77' yellowcard
  • goal Hiroshi Kiyotake 72'