Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.