Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
39.69% ( -0.04)	27.59% ( -0.01)	32.72% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

0.04)

57.04% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

0.03)

77.93% (

-0.04)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.01)

28.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-0.01)

63.74% (

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

0.06)

32.41% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07% (

0.06)

68.92% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 39.68%

Kyoto Sanga 32.72%

Draw 27.59%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.68%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.72%