Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.