J1 League | Gameweek 4

Mar 12, 2023 at 6am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
0 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

FT(HT: 0-1)

Junker (41'), Nagai (52'), Tatsuta (70' og.)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

J1 League

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
30.67% ( 0.39)	29.64% ( -0.17)	39.68% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 42.4% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.52% (

0.59)

64.47% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.47% (

0.41)

83.52% (

-0.42)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.12% (

0.63)

37.87% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35% (

0.61)

74.64% (

-0.62)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

0.17)

31.75% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.19)

68.17% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 30.66%

Nagoya Grampus 39.67%

Draw 29.64%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.66%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.64%	0-1 @ 13.79% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.67%