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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 at 7am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
FC Tokyo

Sakai (10'), Nagai (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kimoto (49')
Phellype (31'), Bangunagande (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-0 Cerezo
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawFC Tokyo
36.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 27.27%35.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)64.83% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)65.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.84%
    FC Tokyo 35.88%
    Draw 27.26%
Nagoya GrampusDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.84%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.88%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 11am
Apr 3, 2021 6am
Nagoya Grampus
0-0
FC Tokyo

Yoshida (49'), Kimoto (90+5')

Watanabe (81')
Nov 15, 2020 10am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
FC Tokyo
Mateus (90+5' pen.)
Xavier (29'), Maeda (81')

Morishige (36')
Aug 15, 2020 11am
FC Tokyo
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Leandro (33')

Naruse (62'), Langerak (90+4')
Naruse (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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