Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.