Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.