J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 2, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Sapporo Dome

Consadole
2 - 1
Cerezo

Gun-hee (86'), Aoki (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nakahara (78')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
30.38% (0.492 0.49)25.97% (0.18 0.18)43.65% (-0.674 -0.67)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (-0.525 -0.52)51.38% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (-0.46 -0.46)73.2% (0.458 0.46)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.078000000000003 0.08)31.14% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.094000000000001 0.09)67.47% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (-0.551 -0.55)23.42% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.802 -0.8)57.41% (0.801 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 30.38%
    Cerezo Osaka 43.64%
    Draw 25.97%
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.68% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.64%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7am
Cerezo
2-2
Consadole
Yamada (25'), Mendes (62')
Okamura (30'), Kaneko (76')
Sep 11, 2021 10am
Cerezo
0-2
Consadole

Inui (41')
Douglas (73'), Aoki (75')
Suga (56'), Fernandes (82')
Sep 8, 2021 11am
Consadole
0-3
Cerezo
Fujita (45+1'), Matsuda (51'), Okubo (88')
Tiago (90+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5am
Consadole
1-3
Cerezo
Bothroyd (65')
Bothroyd (62')
Mendes (40', 80'), Kiyotake (54')
Sep 9, 2020 11.30am
Cerezo
2-0
Consadole
Okuno (6', 59')

Douglas (27'), Sugeno (45+2'), Bothroyd (62'), Fernandes (87')