Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.