J1 League | Gameweek 25

Aug 14, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
2 - 3
Hiroshima

Muto (41'), Araki (48' og.)
Takahashi (13'), Mihara (86'), Kamijima (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ben Khalifa (4'), Matsumoto (61'), Fujii (67')
Sasaki (77')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
29.2% ( 2.1)	27.73% ( -0.19)	43.07% ( -1.91)

Both teams to score 46.9% (

1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.41% (

1.56)

58.59% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.85% (

1.2)

79.15% (

-1.2)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

2.55)

35.8% (

-2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

2.53)

72.57% (

-2.53)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

-0.26)

26.96% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

-0.35)

62.29% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 29.2%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.07%

Draw 27.73%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.19) Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.2%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.86) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.07%