J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 6, 2022 at 11am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
0 - 1
Nagoya Grampus


Ominami (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mateus (4')
Fujii (67'), Ishida (84'), Soma (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

Last Six:
Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, July 2 at 10.30am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawNagoya Grampus
42.46% (-0.133 -0.13)28.89% (-0.35 -0.35)28.65% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 43.53% (1.127 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31% (1.276 1.28)62.69% (-1.274 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.76% (0.92 0.92)82.24% (-0.917 -0.92)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.55799999999999 0.56)29.25% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (0.68 0.68)65.2% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (1.118 1.12)38.48% (-1.116 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77% (1.051 1.05)75.23% (-1.048 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 42.45%
    Nagoya Grampus 28.65%
    Draw 28.88%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.25% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 5am
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Mateus (18')
Tiago (27'), Morishita (55')
Hosoya (6')
Moreira (31'), Savio (79'), Toshima (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 6am
Nagoya Grampus
2-0
Reysol
Swierczok (34'), Nakatani (71')
Mar 10, 2021 9am
Reysol
0-1
Nagoya Grampus
Ominami (58' og.)
Nagasawa (85')
Dec 5, 2020 5am
Reysol
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Ominami (76')
Soma (51')
Maruyama (90')
Aug 1, 2020 10am
Nagoya Grampus
0-1
Reysol

Inagaki (32'), Schmidt (53')
Olunga (71')
Yamashita (23'), Nakamura (28')