J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 17, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Nishikyogoku Athletic Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
1 - 1
Hiroshima

Omae (77')
Appiah Tawiah (49'), Ismaila (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morishima (54')
Nogami (16'), Araki (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

Last Six:
    Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
    Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
    Sunday, July 10 at 10am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 24.94%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

    Result
    Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
    24.94% (-0.989 -0.99)28.15% (-0.152 -0.15)46.91% (1.138 1.14)
    Both teams to score 43.05% (-0.36 -0.36)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    37.93% (-0.067 -0.07)62.07% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    18.21% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)81.79% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
    Kyoto Sanga Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    58.65% (-0.933 -0.93)41.35% (0.932 0.93)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    22.13% (-0.836 -0.84)77.86% (0.834 0.83)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.4% (0.545 0.55)26.6% (-0.548 -0.55)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.17% (0.717 0.72)61.82% (-0.719 -0.72)
    Score Analysis
        Kyoto Sanga 24.94%
        Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46.91%
        Draw 28.14%
    Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
    1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.227 -0.23)
    2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
    2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.213 -0.21)
    3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.101 -0.1)
    3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.097 -0.1)
    3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
    Other @ 1.21%
    Total : 24.94%
    		1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
    0-0 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
    2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
    Other @ 0.53%
    Total : 28.14%
    		0-1 @ 14.56% (0.26 0.26)
    0-2 @ 9.64% (0.317 0.32)
    1-2 @ 8.52% (0.067 0.07)
    0-3 @ 4.26% (0.203 0.2)
    1-3 @ 3.76% (0.087 0.09)
    2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
    0-4 @ 1.41% (0.088 0.09)
    1-4 @ 1.25% (0.048 0.05)
    Other @ 1.86%
    Total : 46.91%

    Head to Head
    May 21, 2022 5am
    Hiroshima
    3-1
    Kyoto Sanga
    Mitsuta (5'), Santos (26'), Asada (66' og.)
    Taketomi (42')
    Appiah Tawiah (55')