J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

FC Tokyo
2 - 2
Yokohama

Tsukagawa (52', 63')
Nagatomo (12')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iwata (40'), Nakagawa (45')
Kida (45+5'), Nagato (45+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

Last Six:
Last Game: Reysol 3-6 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League

Yokohama F Marinos

Last Six:
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Yokohama
Thursday, August 18 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawYokohama F Marinos
27.16% (0.207 0.21)23.46% (-0.129 -0.13)49.38% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.86% (0.618 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (0.738 0.74)42.35% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (0.73399999999999 0.73)64.76% (-0.733 -0.73)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (0.536 0.54)28.82% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (0.661 0.66)64.68% (-0.66 -0.66)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.25 0.25)17.3% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.436 0.44)47.65% (-0.436 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 27.16%
    Yokohama F Marinos 49.38%
    Draw 23.46%
FC TokyoDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 27.16%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.67% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.97%
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 49.38%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 11am
Yokohama
2-1
FC Tokyo
Nishimura (8'), Lopes (47')
Abe (12')
Matsuki (1'), Abe (24')
Matsuki (75')
Nov 6, 2021 7am
Yokohama
8-0
FC Tokyo
Maeda (10', 41' pen., 48'), Junior (21' pen.), Koike (24', 69'), Higashi (84' og.), Mizunuma (86')

Morishige (20'), Nagai (49')
Morishige (39')
May 1, 2021 6am
FC Tokyo
0-3
Yokohama

Morishige (43'), Abe (68')
Onaiwu (8', 52', 61')
Oct 24, 2020 7am
FC Tokyo
0-4
Yokohama

Silva (63')
Santos (54', 56'), Watanabe (90+1' og.), Lima (90+5')
Ito (80')
Jul 12, 2020 11.30am
Yokohama
1-3
FC Tokyo
Endo (4')
Kajikawa (43'), Hatanaka (71'), Koike (87')
Oliveira (17' pen.), Leandro (45+1', 46')
Muroya (81'), Takahagi (84')