Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.